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Horngate

http://ecotretas.blogspot.com/2011/09/horngate.html

Horngate
African droughts are a well known and historical problem. The Sahel
(left map), the vast territory south of the Sahara, for instance, has
a long record of past droughts. So, every time you hear Al Gore
talking about droughts, you should suspect some inconvenient truths
are being omitted.

And that is the case with the Sahel droughts mentioned in the Climate
Reality site above. It talks about the great Sahel drought, best known
because of the "Do They Know It’s Christmas" song. What it does not
mention is that since then, the Sahel has been getting greener! The
Global Warming Policy Foundation did an excellent briefing paper on
this. But this is no news today, and National Geographic was already
trying to explain the unexplainable two years ago!

Al Gore should know about it, so he will probably be switching his
focus to the Horn of Africa, where a severe drought is underway. As
can be seen by the map on the left (detail here), several areas of
Somalia, Kenya and Ethiopia are experiencing famine or severe food
shortage. The UNHCR has a special site on the issue.

While these droughts have caused some tens of thousands of deaths, and
some 750 000 could die in the next four months, one would imagine that
the IPCC would have predicted it. Think again! If you go to the IPCC
page regarding the fractional change in precipitation changes over
Africa in this century, you might find something shocking:

Now, if you’re not familiar with Africa’s geography, check it out
again: the IPCC, in the Fourth Assessment Report, which gave them the
Nobel Prize, is predicting a major rainfall increase, in the exact
same region where the drought is underway! And I just can’t get it,
because these are predictions for a warming world. So, something must
be wrong, very wrong, inside the IPCC and their 21 models…

It gets worse. FEWS (Famine Early Warning Systems Network), which also
has some very interesting data, was concluding last year:

The observed drying tendency is the opposite predicted by the 4th
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC ) assessment.

Further down the document, more detail is provided:

The observed rainfall tendencies are substantially different from the
results presented in the most recent (4th) Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change (IPCC) assessment (Christensen and others, 2007).
Chapter 11 (Regional Climate Projections, Christensen and others,
2007) of the IPCC Working Group I report indicates that eastern Africa
will likely experience a modest (5 10 percent) increase in June-July-
August precipitation, a result our work, although not looking at the
same months, suggests is unlikely.

Chris Funk, who works with FEWS, saw it coming, along with La Ni a
last year. In an article in Nature (registry needed) last month,
intitled We thought trouble was coming, Chris gives an idea why this
was mishandled:

The global climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change were never intended to provide rainfall trend
projections for every region. These models say that East Africa will
become wetter, yet observations show substantial declines in spring
rainfall in recent years. Despite this, several agencies are building
long-term plans on the basis of the forecast of wetter conditions.
This could lead to agricultural development and expansion in areas
that will become drier. More climate science based on regional
observations could be helpful in addressing these challenges.

This is the most important part. Not only has IPCC been useless in the
last decade, but has been committing severe errors. But now, Horngate
clearly shows us that IPCC has been contributing to several tens of
thousands of deaths, because of inferior climate investigation, and
misleading guidance. It is the time to shutdown an UN agency, that is
doing more harm than good! And maybe, Al Gore will talk about all this
inconvenience in a week…

.
posted by admin in Uncategorized and have Comments (2)

2 Responses to “Horngate”

  1. admin says:

    "AGWFacts" <AGWFa…@ipcc.org> wrote in message

    news:lbbi671e5k7t8odf8c0d85j3vmri7cl02v@4ax.com…

    > On Thu, 8 Sep 2011 13:24:38 -0700 (PDT), Tunderbar
    > <tdcom…@gmail.com> wrote:

    >> Horngate

    > Your cult’s "climategate" hoax feel apart; your cult’s "polar
    > beargate" hoax fell apart. Now your cult has trotted out another
    > hoax, "horngate." Let us know how that turns out, eh? LOL!

    > —
    > TRUTH NEEDS ALLIES!
    > http://epa.gov/climatechange/

    ON TRUTH

    "One of the world’s greatest problems is the impossibility of any person
    searching for the truth on any subject when they believe they already have
    it." Author Dave Wilbur

    Believe those who are seeking the truth; doubt those who find it.

    Andre Gide, Nobel Prize winning novelist

    "Skepticism is the first step toward truth"

    Denis Diderot philosopher

    Warmest Regards

    B0nz0

    "It is a remarkable fact that despite the worldwide expenditure of perhaps
    US$50 billion since 1990, and the efforts of tens of thousands of scientists
    worldwide, no human climate signal has yet been detected that is distinct
    from natural variation."

    Bob Carter, Research Professor of Geology, James Cook University, Townsville

    "A major problem has been the co-option of climate science by politics,
    ambition, greed, and what seems to be a hereditary human need for a
    righteous cause."

    "What better cause than "saving" the planet, especially if one can get
    ample, secure funding at the same time?"

    William Happer, Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics, Princeton
    University.

    "Today’s debate about global warming is essentially a debate about freedom.
    The environmentalists would like to mastermind each and every possible (and
    impossible) aspect of our lives."

    Vaclav Klaus, Blue Planet in Green Shackles

    "If climate has not "tipped" in over 4 billion years it’s not going to tip
    now due to mankind. The planet has a natural thermostat"

    Richard S. Lindzen, Atmospheric Physicist, Professor of Meteorology MIT,
    Former IPCC Lead Author

    "It does not matter who you are, or how smart you are, or what title you
    have, or how many of you there are, and certainly not how many papers your
    side has published, if your prediction is wrong then your hypothesis is
    wrong. Period."

    Professor Richard Feynman, Nobel Laureate in Physics

    "A core problem is that science has given way to ideology. The scientific
    method has been dispensed with, or abused, to serve the myth of man-made
    global warming."

    "The World Turned Upside Down", Melanie Phillips

    "Computer models are built in an almost backwards fashion: The goal is to
    show evidence of AGW, and the "scientists" go to work to produce such a
    result. When even these models fail to show what advocates want, the data
    and interpretations are "fudged" to bring about the desired result"

    "The World Turned Upside Down", Melanie Phillips

    "Ocean acidification looks suspiciously like a back-up plan by the
    environmental pressure groups in case the climate fails to warm: another try
    at condemning fossil fuels!"

    http://www.rationaloptimist.com/blog/threat-ocean-acidification-great

    Before attacking hypothetical problems, let us first solve the real problems
    that threaten humanity. One single water pump at an equivalent cost of a
    couple of solar panels can indeed spare hundreds of Sahel women the daily
    journey to the spring and spare many infections and lives.

    Martin De Vlieghere, philosopher

    "The fact that an opinion has been widely held is no evidence whatever that
    it is not utterly absurd; indeed in view of the silliness of the majority of
    mankind, a widespread belief is more likely to be foolish than sensible."

    Bertrand Russell

  2. admin says:

    "gordo" <grmerr…@shaw.ca.remove> wrote in message

    news:auri67dbtqaprrqajoop0i7jtshdglko6f@4ax.com…

    > On Thu, 8 Sep 2011 14:19:58 -0700 (PDT), "erschroedin…@gmail.com"

    > <erschroedin…@gmail.com> wrote:

    >>On Sep 8, 12:50 pm, "birdog" <ti…@AOL.com> wrote:

    > Why do they keep bringing up the lies about DDT? it is like an urban

    > myth that keeps reappearing every 6 months only this time it was a

    > friend of my cousin who lives in Tulsa so it must be true.

    Lies?

    Really?

    A quote from oneof your leftist/warmist fellows says it all!

    "So what? People are the main cause of our problems. We have too many of
    them. We need to get rid of some of them."

    Charles Wurster, after it was pointed out to him by a reporter that the
    widespread usage of the pesticide DDT saved lives.

    And another …

    Alexander King, founder of the Malthusian Club of Rome, wrote in a
    biographical essay in 1990,

    "My chief quarrel with DDT in hindsight is that it has greatly added to the
    population problem."

    King was particularly concerned that DDT had dramatically cut the death
    rates in the developing sector, and thus increased population growth.

    Read more …

    Greenie Murder All In The Cause Of Population Control

    DDT Banned To Kill People

    2002

    QUOTE: "My chief quarrel with DDT in hindsight is that it has greatly added
    to the population problem." King was particularly concerned that DDT had
    dramatically cut the death rates in the developing sector, and thus
    increased population growth.

    QUOTE: "So what? People are the main cause of our problems. We have too many
    of them. We need to get rid of some of them." Charles Wurster, after it was
    pointed out to him by a reporter that the widespread usage of the pesticide
    DDT saved lives.

    QUOTE: The US decision had a rapid effect in the developing sector, where
    the State Department made US aid contingent on countries not using any
    pesticide that was banned in the US. The US Agency for International
    Development discontinued its support for DDT spraying programs, and instead
    increased funding for birth control programs.

    QUOTE: Other Western nations-Sweden and Norway, for example-also pressured
    recipient nations to stop the use of DDT. Belize abandoned DDT in 1999,
    because Mexico, under pressure from the US and NAFTA, had stopped the
    manufacture of DDT, which was Belize’s source. Purchases of replacement
    insecticides would take up nearly 90 percent of Belize’s malaria control
    budget. Mozambique stopped the use of DDT, "because 80 percent of the
    country’s health budget came from donor funds, and donors refused to allow
    the use of DDT," reported the British Medical Journal (March 11, 2000).

    QUOTE: In 1995, despite the official documentation of increases in malaria
    cases and malaria deaths, the UN Environment Program began an effort to make
    the ban on DDT worldwide. UNEP proposed to institute "legally binding"
    international controls banning what are called "persistent organic
    pollutants" or POPs, including DDT.

    The 1972 U.S. ban on DDT is responsible for a genocide 10 times larger than
    that for which we sent Nazis to the gallows at Nuremberg. It is also
    responsible for a menticide which has already condemned one entire
    generation to a dark age of anti-science ignorance, and is now infecting a
    new one.

    Sixty million people have died needlessly of malaria, since the imposition
    of the 1972 ban on DDT, and hundreds of millions more have suffered from
    this debilitating disease. The majority of those affected are children. Of
    the 300 to 500 million new cases of malaria each year, 200 to 300 million
    are children, and malaria now kills one child every 30 seconds. Ninety
    percent of the reported cases of malaria are in Africa, and 40 percent of
    the world’s population, inhabitants of tropical countries, are threatened by
    the increasing incidence of malaria.

    The DDT ban does not only affect tropical nations. In the wake of the DDT
    ban, the United States stopped its mosquito control programs, cutting the
    budgets for mosquito control and monitoring. Exactly as scientists had
    warned 25 years ago, we are now facing increases of mosquito-borne killer
    diseases-West Nile fever and dengue, to name the most prominent.

    Why was DDT banned, 30 years after its World War II introduction and
    spectacular success in saving lives?

    The reason was stated bluntly by Alexander King, founder of the Malthusian
    Club of Rome, who wrote in a biographical essay in 1990, "My chief quarrel
    with DDT in hindsight is that it has greatly added to the population
    problem."

    King was particularly concerned that DDT had dramatically cut the death
    rates in the developing sector, and thus increased population growth.

    As King correctly observed, the incidence of malaria, and its death rates,
    were vastly reduced by DDT spraying.

    To take one example: Sri Lanka (Ceylon) had 2.8 million cases of malaria and
    more than 12,500 deaths in 1946, before the use of DDT.

    In 1963, after a large-scale spraying campaign, the number of cases fell to
    17, and the number of deaths fell to 1.

    But five years after the stop of spraying, in 1969, the number of deaths had
    climbed to 113, and the number of cases to 500,000.

    Today, malaria rates have soared in countries that stopped spraying. In
    South Africa, the malaria incidence increased by 1,000 percent in the late
    1990s.

    The Silent Spring Fraud

    The campaign to ban DDT got its start with the publication of Rachel Carson’s
    book Silent Spring in 1962. Carson’s popular book was a fraud. She played on
    people’s emotions, and to do so, she selected and falsified data from
    scientific studies, as entomologist Dr. J. Gordon Edwards has documented in
    his analysis of the original scientific studies that Carson cited.2

    As a result of the propaganda and lies, the US Environmental Protection
    Agency convened scientific hearings and appointed a Hearing Examiner, Edmund
    Sweeney, to run them. Every major scientific organization in the world
    supported DDT use, submitted testimony, as did the environmentalist
    opposition. The hearings went on for seven months, and generated 9,000 pages
    of testimony. Hearing Examiner Sweeney then ruled that DDT should not be
    banned, based on the scientific evidence: "DDT is not carcinogenic,
    mutagenic, or teratogenic to man and these uses of DDT do not have a
    deleterious effect on fish, birds, wildlife, or estuarine organisms,"
    Sweeney concluded.

    Two months later, without even reading the testimony or attending the
    hearings, EPA administrator William Ruckelshaus overruled the EPA hearing
    officer and banned DDT. He later admitted that he made the decision for
    "political" reasons. "Science, along with economics, has a role to play . ..
    .. but the ultimate decision remains political," Ruckelshaus said.

    The US decision had a rapid effect in the developing sector, where the State
    Department made US aid contingent on countries not using any pesticide that
    was banned in the United States. The US Agency for International Development
    discontinued its support for DDT spraying programs, and instead increased
    funding for birth control programs.

    Other Western nations-Sweden and Norway, for example-also pressured
    recipient nations to stop the use of DDT. Belize abandoned DDT in 1999,
    because Mexico, under pressure from the United States and NAFTA, had stopped
    the manufacture of DDT, which was Belize’s source. Purchases of replacement
    insecticides would take up nearly 90 percent of Belize’s malaria control
    budget. Mozambique stopped the use of DDT, "because 80 percent of the
    country’s health budget came from donor funds, and donors refused to allow
    the use of DDT," reported the British Medical Journal (March 11, 2000).

    The World Bank and the World Health Organization, meanwhile, responded to
    the rise in malaria incidence with a well-publicized "Roll Back Malaria"
    program, begun in 1989, which involves no insect control measures, only bed
    nets, personnel training, and drug therapies-a prescription for failure.

    POPs Convention Is Genocide

    In 1995, despite the official documentation of increases in malaria cases
    and malaria deaths, the United Nations Environment Program began an effort
    to make the ban on DDT worldwide. UNEP proposed to institute "legally
    binding" international controls banning what are called "persistent organic
    pollutants" or POPs, including DDT.

    Ratification of the POPs Convention, finalized in 2001, is now pending in
    the US Senate, where it has the support of the Senate Committee on
    Environment and Public Works, including committee chairman James Jeffords
    (Ind.-Vt.) and committee member Joe Lieberman (D.-Conn.). President Bush has
    already endorsed the US signing on to the POPs Convention.

    The evidence of DDT’s effectiveness is dramatic. In South America, where
    malaria is endemic, malaria rates soared in countries that had stopped
    spraying houses with DDT after 1993: Guyana, Bolivia, Paraguay, Peru,
    Brazil, Colombia, and Venezuela. In Ecuador, however, which increased its
    use of DDT after 1993, the malaria rate was rapidly reduced by 60 percent.

    But DDT spraying is not a magic bullet cure-all. Eliminating mosquito-borne
    diseases here and around the world requires in-depth public health
    infrastructure and trained personnel-as were in place in the 1950s and
    1960s, when DDT began to rid the world of malaria. And mosquito-borne
    illness is not the only scourge now threatening us. A growing AIDS pandemic,
    and the return of tuberculosis and other killer diseases, now also menace
    growing parts of the world’s population, particularly in those areas where
    human immune systems are challenged

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