Investment and other financial matters

Archive for March, 2011

lay bet

What is the equivalent of "laying a bet" in a betting exchange, but in the
stock market?   Is this a short-sell, which are now unavailable in Aus?

.
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WILL AUSTRALIA GREATEST MINING PIONEER ALIVE BE ALLOWED BACK IN TIME TO AVOID THE WORSE ?

*>in response to Mr Kanga :
*> The ENTIRE SYSTEM must ALL be replaced urgently !

Correct Mr Kanga, just see how those Political Criminals of both the
Federal & West Australia Parliaments are keeping at bay Australia
Greatest Mining Pioneer of all Times from returning to the Land he
loved best once … simply since this would imply that the Covered Up
Mining Criminals of Newmont, Newcrest & BHP ( also Boral)  would have
regurgitated the stolen Mining Properties to Legal Owner  …
But don’t worry Mate, they will in due time and I have since 40 years
keep the account of what that Mining Manure owes me with compounded
interests,  loss opportunities damages  & terrific compensation for
the atrocious suffering resulting from Geological Frauds such as
Tyrwhitt taking all credits & prestige from me since a generation and
last but not least the pangs in my heart resulting from the way I was
kicked out of Australia under thread of Death by the Mining Criminals
indeed … not to finish as I understood clearly as the murdered in
cold blood Hon. T.D Evans, former WA Attorney General or Father Bert
Rutherford ! THE perfect crimes realized by psychological minds…in
the same way that heinous Carmen Lawrence,  former WA Whorehouse
Headcunt,  murdered in cold blood one of West Australia finest lady
without apparently touching the tool of murder !!!

You must understand then that under such circumstances as the one you
are out laying, entire corruption of the Magistrate system and cover
up of the Criminals by the others, that I AM NOT DEFINITIVELY IN THE
MOOD TO RELEASE AUSTRALIA FROM ITS COLLECTIVE CHASTIMENT RESULTING
FROM ITS COLLECTIVE CRIMES !!!

Please Mate, keep us all posted with your observations from your eagle
nest of Mt Barker on the derelict state of the dying Murray-Darling
River. Those  Conceited Criminals Cretins ( CCC) of the Federal or
West Australia Whorehouses,  although taking advices from a random
sample of a 1000 Universities brainwashed idiots as seen in a report
from Garnault to Rudd, or taking advice from Australian of the Year,
Aimless Flanerie,  ( who does not care indeed with his mind on erratic
issues as it suits) STILL HAVE NO CLUES RE WHAT’S  GOING ON …

Would you think Mr Kanga that the cause of it all could even touch up
their minds, i.e. the Collective Crimes in which the higher instances
of the Land have dipped or rather soaked and whose aim was both to run
to despair one of Australia finest Geological Genius of all Times,
but as well suck up the benefits of their most infamous FORFEITURE.  I
am pleased to say that in this regards they have failed on all counts
1) Failure to run Sir Jean-Paul Turcaud to despair
2) Failure to knock down the Great Australia Mining Pioneer’s
fighting spirit
3) Failure to Cover up their Crimes in despite of caging orders to all
Australian Rags and to all those slave pen pushers grovelling there
4) Failure to escape Divine Retribution for their most miserable plot
in banding together to crush one of the most brave & gallant Mining
Pioneer ever in the Land
5) Failure to escape finally the coming Public Apologies from both the
Federal & West Australia Parliament for their Crimes, and the
immediate return of the Stolen properties by Deceit to legal owner Sir
Jean-Paul

Could you please keep me posted, since from your eagle nest of Mt
Barker  you have a incompatible view on some 100 miles of the dying
Murray Darling river, as to the desperate evolution of the situation.
I anticipate indeed according to the Divine Chastiment timing that the
Murray Darling river should be soon an open racing sand track for 4 x
4 vehicles ! SOON the great open race in the Murray Darling bed from
Adelaide to Goulbourn !

THE MURRAY DARLING ADELAIDE to GOULBOURN 4 X 4 RACE !
( Who wants to take bets)

Thank you Mr Kanga and have a good time at Xmas and please do not have
hang up about all those false gods YHWH, JC or Allah Ackbar,  they are
all Semite Spooks indeed !

Looking forward to see you next year, having a good tea by your camp
fire while the billy is cooling near by …
Looking forward to 2009 being the year when Australia will finally
makes its Peace with his Greatest Mining Pioneer of All Times, since
the second condition will preclude the first indeed

Sir Jean-Paul Turcaud
Australia Mining Pioneer
Founder of the True Geology
( and hated in Australia by all those Mining & Political Criminals
whose Mining Pioneer’s  mere existence & outmost generosity indeed,
is a challenge to their villainous & miserable pettiness)

for background info.
http://www.tnet.com.au/~warrigal/grule.html <http://www.tnet.com.au/
%7Ewarrigal/grule.html>
http://users.indigo.net.au/don/tel/index.html
http://users.indigo.net.au/don/tel/nac.html
http://members.iimetro.com.au/~hubbca/turcaud.htm <http://
members.iimetro.com.au/%7Ehubbca/turcaud.htm>
http://www.abc.net.au/rn/talks/bbing/stories/s28534.htm
True Geology Foundation document :
http://www.americanchronicle.com/articles/69327

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Global Cooling Marches On

Brrrrr …

December 23 2008

The world sure is coldening:

The first day of winter brought wind-chill warnings, snow and a bevy of
storms to cities across Canada on Sunday, potentially laying the groundwork
for the first cross-country white Christmas in nearly four decades.

It’s even colder than last year:

Phillips said some parts of the country are seeing snowfall amounts that
have outpaced last year’s record and near-record totals at this point in the
season.

Britain is shivering, too:

After the coldest start to December for more than 30 years, and with
snowfall seen in many parts of Britain as early as October, the bookmakers
could reap the dividends after taking a record number of bets on a white
Christmas.

Britain’s Snowboard Club hasn’t seen such snow in Europe in years:

It’s now ten weeks since the first heavy snowfalls were reported in the Alps
and the snow is continuing to come down by the bucket load in many areas.

http://www.skiinfo.com reports that apart from the duration of the snowfall
obviously setting ski resorts up for a memorable season, what’s also unusual
is that almost all of the world’s major ski regions have received well above
average pre-season snowfall, usually one area will do better than another.
However this time almost everywhere has above average snow.

In Australia, the sodden Bureau of Meteorology can’t find the drought Kevin
Rudd keeps talking about:

Above to very much above average November 2008 rainfall over much of
Australia largely cleared short-term rainfall deficiencies. For the 9-month
period from March to November 2008, above to very much above average
rainfall during November has resulted in a general easing of short-term
rainfall deficiencies. Rainfall deficiencies for the 18-month period from
June 2007 to November 2008 have also eased over large areas…

In Beijing they’re freezing:

Winter truly arrived in Beijing yesterday with the highest temperature of
the day down to minus 8.8 ?. Media reports say it was "the coldest day in
December in the last 57 years."

They moaned about global warming, but now they’re moaning even more about
the cold:

Bone-numbing cold spread Monday from the US Midwest to the East, forcing
millions to bundle up and scurry from place to place. Snowfall in northern
New England topped 40 inches in one town, and travel remained disrupted as
the days ticked town toward Christmas.

"It’s so cold, it feels like needles are pricking my eyes," grumbled
19-year-old Ashley Sarpong of Chicago, a fur-lined hood pulled around her
face Sunday. "This is the coldest I’ve felt all year."

UPDATE

Dr Martin Hertzberg, a physical chemist and retired Navy meteorologist, sums
up the climate – both intellectual and physical:

As a scientist and lifelong liberal Democrat, I find the constant
regurgitation of the anecdotal, fear-mongering clap-trap about human-caused
global warming to be a disservice to science…From the El Nino year of 1998
until Jan., 2007, the average temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere near its
surface decreased some 0.25 C. From Jan. 2007 until the spring of 2008, it
dropped a whopping 0.75 C.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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Scepticism Grows

December 23, 2008

There is a boom in interest in the blog of Anthony Watts, man-made global
warming sceptic,

Rightly so.

Bookmark it, too.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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Re: November was 5th warmest on NASA's 129-year global land surface record.

Global Cooling

December 23 2008

The world sure is coldening:

The first day of winter brought wind-chill warnings, snow and a bevy of
storms to cities across Canada on Sunday, potentially laying the groundwork
for the first cross-country white Christmas in nearly four decades.

It’s even colder than last year:

Phillips said some parts of the country are seeing snowfall amounts that
have outpaced last year’s record and near-record totals at this point in the
season.

Britain is shivering, too:

After the coldest start to December for more than 30 years, and with
snowfall seen in many parts of Britain as early as October, the bookmakers
could reap the dividends after taking a record number of bets on a white
Christmas.

Britain’s Snowboard Club hasn’t seen such snow in Europe in years:

It’s now ten weeks since the first heavy snowfalls were reported in the Alps
and the snow is continuing to come down by the bucket load in many areas.

http://www.skiinfo.com reports that apart from the duration of the snowfall
obviously setting ski resorts up for a memorable season, what’s also unusual
is that almost all of the world’s major ski regions have received well above
average pre-season snowfall, usually one area will do better than another.
However this time almost everywhere has above average snow.

In Australia, the sodden Bureau of Meteorology can’t find the drought Kevin
Rudd keeps talking about:

Above to very much above average November 2008 rainfall over much of
Australia largely cleared short-term rainfall deficiencies. For the 9-month
period from March to November 2008, above to very much above average
rainfall during November has resulted in a general easing of short-term
rainfall deficiencies. Rainfall deficiencies for the 18-month period from
June 2007 to November 2008 have also eased over large areas…

In Beijing they’re freezing:

Winter truly arrived in Beijing yesterday with the highest temperature of
the day down to minus 8.8 ?. Media reports say it was "the coldest day in
December in the last 57 years."

They moaned about global warming, but now they’re moaning even more about
the cold:

Bone-numbing cold spread Monday from the US Midwest to the East, forcing
millions to bundle up and scurry from place to place. Snowfall in northern
New England topped 40 inches in one town, and travel remained disrupted as
the days ticked town toward Christmas.

"It’s so cold, it feels like needles are pricking my eyes," grumbled
19-year-old Ashley Sarpong of Chicago, a fur-lined hood pulled around her
face Sunday. "This is the coldest I’ve felt all year."

UPDATE

Dr Martin Hertzberg, a physical chemist and retired Navy meteorologist, sums
up the climate – both intellectual and physical:

As a scientist and lifelong liberal Democrat, I find the constant
regurgitation of the anecdotal, fear-mongering clap-trap about human-caused
global warming to be a disservice to science…From the El Nino year of 1998
until Jan., 2007, the average temperature of the Earth’s atmosphere near its
surface decreased some 0.25 C. From Jan. 2007 until the spring of 2008, it
dropped a whopping 0.75 C.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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Re: Global Warming Lies spouted by Roger Coppock 2

"Roger Coppock" <rcopp…@adnc.com> wrote in message

news:8417a821-394b-41a8-9afd-53e1edaba665@z28g2000prd.googlegroups.com…
On Dec 18, 1:04 am, chemist <tom-bol…@ntlworld.com> wrote:
[ . . . ]

> Cosmic Rays increase cloudiness.

Can you show any real globally averaged data to show this, Tom?
*************************************

The global cooling of the last 10 years is evidence enough!!

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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Re: CO2 or Sunspots: Statistical Correlation Chooses

Sunspots And Climate

B. Geerts and E. Linacre

1 Dec 97

http://www-das.uwyo.edu/~geerts/cwx/notes/chap02/sunspots.html

Sunspot cycle

Sunspots have a diameter of about 37,000 km and appear as dark spots within
the photosphere, the outermost layer of the Sun. The photosphere is about
400 km deep, and provides most of our solar radiation. The layer is about
6,000 degrees Kelvin at the inner boundary and 4,200 K on the outside. The
temperature within sunspots is about 4,600 K. The number of sunspots peaks
every 11.1 years.

There is a strong radial magnetic field within a sunspot, as implied in the
picture, and the direction of the field reverses in alternate years within
the leading sunspots of a group. So the true sunspot cycle is 22.2 years.
There is also a superimposed fluctuation with a period of 25 months, i.e. a
quasi-biennial oscillation.

Sunspots were observed in the Far East for over 2000 years, but examined
more intensely in Europe after the invention of telescopes in the 17th
century. In 1647 Johannes Hevelius (1611-87) in Danzig made drawings of the
movements of sunspots eastwards and gradually towards the solar equator. In
1801 William Herschel (1738-1822) attempted to correlate the annual number
of sunspots to the price of grain in London. The 11-year cycle of the number
of sunspots was first demonstrated by Heinrich Schwabe (1789-1875) in 1843.

There have been several periods during which sunspots were rare or absent,
most notably the Maunder minimum (1645-1715), and less markedly the Dalton
minimum (1795-1820) (Fig 2.8 in the book). During the Maunder minimum the
proportional concentration of radio-carbon (14C) in the Earth?s atmosphere
was slightly higher than normal, causing an underestimate of the
radio-carbon date of objects from those periods. By means of the premise of
excess 14C concentrations in independently dated material (such as tree
rings), other minima have been found at times prior to direct sunspot
observations, for instance the Sporer minimum from 1450 to1540. Data from
8,000 year-old bristle-cone pine trees indicate 18 periods of sunspot minima
in the last 7,800 years (1). This and other studies have shown that the Sun
(as well as other stars) spends about a quarter of its time with very few
sunspots.

There is another well-known, super-imposed variation of annual sunspot
numbers, of about 85 years. This irregular variation affects the length of
the sunspot cycle, ranging from 9.8 to 12.0 years. Maxima of sunspot-cycle
length occured in 1770, 1845 and 1940.

Sunspots and climate

Incidentally, the Sporer, Maunder, and Dalton minima coincide with the
colder periods of the Little Ice Age, which lasted from about 1450 to 1820.
More recently it was discovered that the sunspot number during 1861-1989
shows a remarkable parallelism with the simultaneous variation in northern
hemisphere mean temperatures (2). There is an even better correlation with
the length of the solar cycle, between years of the highest numbers of
sunspots. For example, the temperature anomaly was – 0.4 K in 1890 when the
cycle was 11.7 years, but + 0.25 K in 1989 when the cycle was 9.8 years.
Some critics of the theory of man-induced global warming have seized on this
discovery to criticize the greenhouse gas theory.

All this evokes the important question of how sunspots affect the Earth’s
climate. To answer this question, we need to know how total solar irradiance
received by the Earth is affected by sunspot activity.

Intuitively one may assume the that total solar irradiance would decrease as
the number of (optically dark) sunspots increased. However direct satellite
measurements of irradiance have shown just the opposite to be the case. This
means that more sunspots deliver more energy to the atmosphere, so that
global temperatures should rise.

According to current theory, sunspots occur in pairs as magnetic
disturbances in the convective plasma near the Sun’s surface. Magnetic field
lines emerge from one sunspot and re-enter at the other spot. Also, there
are more sunspots during periods of increased magnetic activity. At that
time more highly charged particles are emitted from the solar surface, and
the Sun emits more UV and visible radiation. Direct measurements are
uncertain, but estimates are that the Sun’s radiant energy varies by up to
0.2% between the extremes of a sunspot cycle. Polar auroras are magnificent
in years with numerous sunspots, and the ?aurora activity? (AA) index varies
in phase with the number of sunspots. Auroras are faint and rare when the
Sun is magnetically quiescent, as during the Maunder minimum.

The periodicity of the sunspot number, and hence that of the circulation in
the solar plasma, relates to the rotation of the Sun about the centre of
gravity of whole solar system, taking 11.1 years on average. Sometimes the
Sun is up to a million kilometres from that centre, and sometimes it more or
less coincides, leading to different conditions of turbulence within the
photosphere. The transition from one condition to the other affects the
number of sunspots.

Not only does the increased brightness of the Sun tend to warm the Earth,
but also the solar wind (a stream of highly energetic charged particles)
shields the atmosphere from cosmic rays, which produce 14C. So there is more
14C when the Sun is magnetically quiescent. This explains why 14C samples
from independently dated material are used as a way of inferring the Sun’s
magnetic history.

Recent research (3) indicates that the combined effects of sunspot-induced
changes in solar irradiance and increases in atmospheric greenhouse gases
offer the best explanation yet for the observed rise in average global
temperature over the last century. Using a global climate model based on
energy conservation, Lane et al (3) constructed a profile of atmospheric
climate "forcing" due to combined changes in solar irradiance and emissions
of greenhouse gases between 1880 and 1993. They found that the temperature
variations predicted by their model accounted for up to 92% of the
temperature changes actually observed over the period — an excellent match
for that period. Their results also suggest that the sensitivity of climate
to the effects of solar irradiance is about 27% higher than its sensitivity
to forcing by greenhouse gases.

Sunspots and climate prediction

We do not know why the Sun spends part of its time in a magnetically
quiescent state, and whether the sunspot minima occur with a regularity that
is sufficient to predict when the next quiescent episode might occur.

At present there is no concern about another Little Ice Age. Recent
satellite measurements of solar brightness, analyzed by Willson (4), show an
increase from the previous cycle of sunspot activity to the current one,
indicating that the Earth is receiving more energy from the Sun. Willson
indicates that if the current rate of increase of solar irradiance continues
until the mid 21th century, then the surface temperatures will increase by
about 0.5? C. This is small, but not a negligible fraction of the expected
greenhouse warming.

The relationship between cycle length and Earth temperatures is not well
understood. Lower-than normal temperatures tend to occur in years when the
sunspot cycle is longest, as confirmed by records of the annual duration of
sea-ice around Iceland. The cycle will be longest again in the early 2020′s.

References

Eddy, J.A. 1981: Climate and the role of the Sun. In Rotberg and Rabb 1981,
145–67 (5).

Friis-Christensen, E. and K. Lassen 1991. Length of the solar cycle, an
indication of solar activity closely associated with climate. Science 254,
698-700.

Lane, L.J., M.H. Nichols, and H.B. Osborn 1994: Time series analyses of
global change data. Environ. Pollut., 83, 63-68.

Willson, R.C. 1997. Total solar irradiance trend during solar cycles 21 and
22. Science, 277, 1963-5.

Rotberg, I. and T.K. Rabb (eds) 1981: Climate and History. (Princeton Univ.
Press

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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███ Download your FREE Investing Ebook – The Portable Investor ███

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http://www.10000elephants.com/pinv.html

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How To Create An Artificial Global Warming Trend

I’ll bet Fudgin’ Hansen has had some input here!

November 18 2007

QUOTE: The vast majority of the stations surveyed to date fail to meet the
prescribed standards. Using a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 reflecting proper
maintenance and standards and 5 representing facilities that are severely
compromised,

Watts says 70 percent of those stations surveyed received a 4 or 5 rating,
while only 4 percent received a grade of 1.

Washington: Dire "global warming" predictions are based on bad science from
the very start, says a veteran meteorologist who found surface temperatures
recorded throughout the U.S. are done so with almost no regard to scientific
standards.

As a result of his shocking initial findings that temperature monitoring
stations were constructed and placed without regard to achieving accurate
recordings of natural temperatures, Anthony Watts set out to investigate the
facilities used by NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration.

What he found were temperature stations with sensors on the roofs of
buildings, near air-conditioning exhaust vents, in parking lots near hot
automobiles, barbecues, chimneys and on pavement and concrete surfaces —  
all of which would lead to higher temperature recordings than properly
established conditions.

Aircraft parking within 10 feet of temperature sensor at Derby Field in
Lovelock, Nev.

To qualify as a properly maintained temperature station, sensors must be
placed in elevated, slatted boxes on flat ground surrounded by a clear
surface on a slope of less than 19 degrees with surrounding grass and
vegetations ground cover of less than 10 centimeters high. The sensors must
be located at least 100 meters from artificial heating or reflecting
surfaces, such as buildings, concrete surfaces and parking lots.

Watts’ concerns about the temperatures being used to gauge whether global
warming is actually taking place began when he read a 1997 study by the U.S.
National Research Council that concluded the consistency and quality of
temperature stations was "inadequate and deteriorating."

Meanwhile, he learned, the U.S. Historical Climatological Network,
responsible for maintaining the stations, was doing nothing to address the
problems.

So Watts decided to take up the challenge himself. After surveying a few
randomly chosen temperature stations and being shocked at the shortcomings,
he set forth on a plan to survey all 1,221 stations, taking photographs
along the way. With the help of volunteers, Watts has systematically
surveyed one-third of the official weather stations.

The vast majority of the stations surveyed to date fail to meet the
prescribed standards. Using a scale of 1 to 5, with 1 reflecting proper
maintenance and standards and 5 representing facilities that are severely
compromised,

Watts says 70 percent of those stations surveyed received a 4 or 5 rating,
while only 4 percent received a grade of 1.

All of the most egregious violations he has observed in the study would
result in artificially higher temperatures being recorded.

http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=44629

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

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AUSTRALIA , Bring bottled water, No-Doze, a sandwich and a clean change of underwear.

200 million dollar lemon ?

  As year-end movies go, I had high hopes for Australia. I really
wanted to like this one. In a jaded epoch of pretentiousness and
cookie-cutter déjà vu, a humongous, sprawling, romantic, action-packed
epic (bring ’em on!) about earth’s last untamed frontier, starring
Nicole Kidman and Hugh Jackman, was, I bargained, just what the doctor
ordered.

   Alas, it is my sad duty to report that even the two prettiest
people on the screen today can’t save this titanic turkey from
dropping dead of exhaustion. Desperately in need of a pair of scissors
at a running time (not much sprawl, but lots of crawl) of almost three
hours, Australia is one of the most boring movies ever made, and one
of the corniest.

    Bring bottled water, No-Doze, a sandwich and a clean change of
underwear.

I forgot what a bad director Baz Luhrmann is and how much I hated
Moulin Rouge! He suffers from massive egomania, delusions of grandeur
and a cinematic verbosity for which there is no cure.

 For a movie that never seems to end, the plot of Australia could be
stored in the pouch of a kangaroo.

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