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Archive for February, 2011

Europe Finally Wakes Up To The Cost Of Crazy Green Dreams

October 22, 2008

Benny Peiser says Europe is going cool on warming policies, and is
belatedly checking just how much it will hurt to cut emissions:

To prevent a financial crisis from turning into an economic calamity,
the European Union has pulled the emergency brake on green policies. At
last week’s EU summit in Brussels, seven eastern and central European
countries, together with Italy, threatened to veto the Union’s climate
pact.

Faced with failure, the final EU summit declaration dropped all
reference to the legal implementation of the climate targets and instead
introduced a new pre-condition.

Any future climate bill must now be "cost-effective to all sectors of
the European economy and for all member states, respecting each member
state’s specific situation."

The new agreement denotes that any binding climate law will now have to
be delayed until the completion of a comprehensive cost-effectiveness
analysis.

The new approach was outlined to a certain extent by the Italian
government last weekend. It announced that Italy would only be prepared
to approve the EU’s climate package at the next EU summit in December
under a certain pre-condition, i.e. that the plan remains provisional
and amendable until the real costs to all sectors of the European
economy and all member states are analyzed by the end of 2009.

A similar exercise in Australia would be excellent.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"The difference between a welfare state and a totalitarian state is a
matter of time" Ayn Rand

.
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Biden agrees: Obama means trouble

October 21, 2008

Want big trouble? Then vote Barack Obama:

Watch, we’re gonna have an international crisis, a generated crisis, to
test the mettle of this guy.

Says who? Obama’s own running mate, Joe Biden:

"I can give you at least four or five scenarios from where it might
originate," Biden said to Emerald City supporters, mentioning the Middle
East and Russia as possibilities.

And the reason Biden predicts this, of course, is that he secretly
acknowledges that America’s enemies suspect Obama to be weak.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"If scientists say they are 100% sure, or that they are absolutely
certain about the cause and effect and ignore variables which might show
that they could be wrong, they are practicing junk science. Junk science
happens when scientists believe something based on just some of what
they see."

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Re: Global Cooling

"Ouroboros_Rex" <i…@casual.com> wrote in message

news:heKdnZXMFasidWDVnZ2dnUVZ_jSdnZ2d@giganews.com…

- — -

> Bill Ward wrote:
>> On Mon, 20 Oct 2008 16:30:30 -0700, Roger Coppock wrote:

>>> On Oct 20, 9:09 am, Steve Thomas <misledrks…@aol.com> wrote:
>>>> http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fullcomment/archive/2008/10/…

>>> Cherry pick a small enough interval
>>> and cherry pick the right geographic
>>> area, and you can claim that temperatures are going any way you
>>> choose. HOWEVER, tell the truth, the WHOLE truth, and nothing but
>>> the truth, and you’ll have to say that global temperatures are
>>> increasing.

>>> That the surface of the Earth has warmed over the last several
>>> decades is a fact supported by many independent sources . . .

>> "Has warmed" is not the same as "is increasing".  It’s cooling now,
>> Roger, deal with it.

>  How come lying Billy Ward has to be told over and over and over and
> over we are in a La Nina year?  lol

How come lying Horribilus_Rex has to be told over and over and over and
over
 we had El Nino years during last cebtury’s warming?  lol

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

". researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Solar Research in Germany
report the sun has been burning more brightly over the last 60 years,
accounting for the 1 degree Celsius increase in Earth’s temperature over
the last 100 years."
http://ibdeditorial.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=287279412587175

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Re: Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof

"Cwatters" <colin.wattersNOS…@TurnersOakNOSPAM.plus.com> wrote in
message news:4_WdnT8_NrVHjmPVnZ2dnUVZ8oWdnZ2d@posted.plusnet…

> The world can afford to do something about GW. Can we afford the risk
> of not doing anything?

Definitely!
We can afford to ignore non-existent GW!

Manhattan Declaration On Climate Change

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2008/05/23…

We, the scientists and researchers in climate and related fields,
economists, policymakers, and business leaders, assembled at Times
Square, New York City, participating in the 2008 International
Conference on Climate Change,

Resolving that scientific questions should be evaluated solely by the
scientific method;

Affirming that global climate has always changed and always will,
independent of the actions of humans, and that carbon dioxide (CO2) is
not a pollutant but rather a necessity for all life;

Recognising that the causes and extent of recently-observed climatic
change are the subject of intense debates in the climate science
community and that oft-repeated assertions of a supposed ‘consensus’
among climate experts are false;

Affirming that attempts by governments to legislate costly regulations
on industry and individual citizens to encourage CO2 emission reduction
will slow development while having no appreciable impact on the future
trajectory of global climate change.  Such policies will markedly
diminish future prosperity and so reduce the ability of societies to
adapt to inevitable climate change, thereby increasing, not decreasing
human suffering;

Noting that warmer weather is generally less harmful to life on Earth
than colder:

Hereby declare:

That current plans to restrict anthropogenic CO2 emissions are a
dangerous misallocation of intellectual capital and resources that
should be dedicated to solving humanity’s real and serious problems.

That there is no convincing evidence that CO2 emissions from modern
industrial activity has in the past, is now, or will in the future cause
catastrophic climate change.

That attempts by governments to inflict taxes and costly regulations on
industry and individual citizens with the aim of reducing emissions of
CO2 will pointlessly curtail the prosperity of the West and progress of
developing nations without affecting climate.

That adaptation as needed is massively more cost-effective than any
attempted mitigation, and that a focus on such mitigation will divert
the attention and resources of governments away from addressing the real
problems of their peoples.

That human-caused climate change is not a global crisis.

Now, therefore, we recommend –

That world leaders reject the views expressed by the United Nations
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change as well as popular, but
misguided works such as "An Inconvenient Truth".

That all taxes, regulations, and other interventions intended to reduce
emissions of CO2 be abandoned forthwith.

Agreed at New York, 4 March 2008

400 Scientists Protest: What terrible man-made global warming?

December 21 2007

The consensus grows – man-made global warming is largely hot air:

Over 400 prominent scientists from more than two dozen countries
recently voiced significant objections to major aspects of the so-called
"consensus" on man-made global warming. These scientists, many of whom
are current and former participants in the UN IPCC (Intergovernmental
Panel on Climate Change), criticized the climate claims made by the UN
IPCC and former Vice President Al Gore.

The new report issued by the Senate Environment and Public Works
Committee’s office of the GOP Ranking Member details the views of the
scientists, the overwhelming majority of whom spoke out in 2007.

Even some in the establishment media now appear to be taking notice of
the growing number of skeptical scientists. In October, the Washington
Post Staff Writer Juliet Eilperin conceded the obvious, writing that
climate skeptics "appear to be expanding rather than shrinking."

It’s becoming easier to find dissenting scientists than scientists who
are true believers. Unless, of course, you read only The Age and listen
only to the ABC.

The names and the views of these dissenting scientists here.

http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.SenateReport

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

Get The TRUE Facts At
 http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/index.html

Excellent Links At
 http://www.warwickhughes.com/

"…and I think future generations are not going to blame us for
anything except for being silly, for letting a few tenths of a degree
panic us"
Dr. Richard Lindzen, Professor of Meteorology MIT and Member of the
National Academy of Sciences

"What most commentators-and many scientists-seem to miss is that the
only thing we can say with certainly about climate is that it changes"
Dr. Richard Lindzen

[most of the current alarm over climate change is based on] "inherently
untrustworthy climate models, similar to those that cannot accurately
forecast the weather a week from now." Dr. Richard Lindzen

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Still No Warming Since 1998 And No Correlation With CO2

18 October 2008

Ian Baxter cites the NASA temperature record in accusing me of
propagating a myth of no recent global temperature increase. (Letters
October 15).

The Meteorological Office’s Hadley Centre data show

that from 2002 to 2007, the annual anomaly versus the long-term average
has been about plus 0.4C with no statistical trend.

This is only a few years and no conclusion could be drawn about
temperature trend, but what Mr Baxter ignores is that carbon dioxide,
supposedly the major driver of man-made climatic warming, has inexorably
and uniformly risen in concentration for every one of these years, with
close to zero correlation with temperature.

The previous three years 1998-2000 also show no temperature correlation
with change, but 1998 was an atypically warm El Niño year.

We are making some of the most expensive global decisions ever, on the
basis of what atmospheric physicist James Peden has described as
"computerised tinker toys with which one can construct any outcome he
chooses".

(DR) JOHN ETHERINGTON

Llanhowell

Solva, Pembrokeshire

http://news.scotsman.com/opinion/Climate-debate-hots-up.4605439.jp

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"There is no compelling evidence that carbon dioxide has any significant
control over the direction of global temperature and climate. The
processes that regulate the interannual to decadal fluctuations of
climate are poorly understood and, as yet, unpredictable" William
Kininmonth, Meteorologist, Former Head, National Climate Centre, Bureau
of Meteorology, 1986-1998

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KENISON COUNTING NUMBERS STOCK MARKET TIMING REVIEW

The Kenison Counting Numbers market timing method uses a unique and
powerful number counting sequence to project important market high
and low points in the future by counting forward from high and low
points
in the past.

Three month, three week, three day and three hour reversal zones are
projected at specific time counts in the forward progression.  For
instance, when a market trades up into a monthly, weekly, daily or
intra-day reversal zone, then an important top is being projected to
occur during that time frame.  The opposite is true if a market
trades down into a projected reversal zone.

In late 2006, Kenison Counting Numbers projected three high potential
three month reversal zones would occur for the S&P in 2007.  They
were centered on the months of January, June and November 2007. The
June
S&P 500 contract entered a very important monthly top reversal zone
when it moved up into the three month reversal zone centered on
January 2007 indicating a terminal top count being projected off the
monthly count starting point bottom in October 2002.  A major
intermediate top did occur in February 2007 as we now know. See the
monthly S&P 500 chart at:

http://www.tfc-charts.com/chart/SP/M

Also, we concurrently entered a weekly terminal top to top count
projecting off the high in the second quarter of 2006.  The week of
February 12, 2007 was the center week of this very important three
week reversal zone.  The market moved up into that weekly reversal
zone.  This provided us with a powerful monthly and weekly bearish
conjunction count.  See the weekly S&P 500 chart at:

http://www.tfc-charts.com/chart/SP/W

In the middle of this powerful monthly and weekly conjunction
pattern, we got a daily top to top terminal count confirmation in the
February
22, 2007 outside day reversal down top.  All the ducks were lined up
in a row as the monthly, weekly, daily and intra-day time counts were
all totally in sync on this major top. See the daily S&P 500 chart
at:

http://www.tfc-charts.com/chart/SW/X

We next moved up into a monthly reversal zone centered on the month
of June 2007.  When the market moved above the April high, this
projected an important top would occur in May, June or July 2007. A
primary 3rd
Wave up top was confirmed in July in monthly, weekly, daily and intra-
day terminal top reversal zones.  This very important top on the
monthly charts was further confirmed as July ended in an outside month
reversal down when the market traded below the July low in August.

From the July top, the market moved down in a well defined five wave
down pattern where a primary wave 4 down bullish reaction wave bottom
reversal was registered on August 16 in projected daily and intra-day
reversal zones.

The next major monthly reversal zone projected for the S&P was a
three month reversal zone centered on the month of November 2007. The
market rallied up in a primary 5th wave completion into this powerful
monthly top reversal zone by pushing above the September high in
October.  This indicated an important top would occur in October,
November or December 2007.  This immediately shifted our attention to
the weekly chart. A very powerful top to top weekly conjunction count
was centered on the week of October 15, 2007.  The market confirmed
this very important terminal top conjunction count by putting in an
outside day reversal down in the middle of a projected three day
reversal zone within the three week reversal zone in what we now know
is the most important stock market top since 1987.

Kenison Counting Numbers is the only known market timing system to
have precisely timed this historic top.

Since the powerful October 2007 stock market top, the S&P 500 Index
has sold off dramatically.  The weekly timing count from the October
top projected a weekly reversal zone centered on the week of March 3,
2008 as the next major timing event.  The market rallied up into that
zone in the week of February 25, then promptly reversed down by the
end of the week with follow through to the downside the following
week
confirming a reversal down bearish reaction count completion.  This
confirmed the bear market move was still in progress.

The next projected major three month reversal zone was centered on the
month
of April 2008.  We dropped below the February 2008 low in March
indicating the market was projecting a significant bottom would be
registered in March, April or May 2008.  Subsequently, the market
rallied above the March high in April confirming a monthly bottom was
made in March as projected.

Counting from the March 2008 bottom, the market traced out an
irregular bearish ABC bear flag reaction wave to the upside which
pushed up into a three week reversal zone centered on the week of
April 28, 2008.  This count projected an important bear flag top
would be completed during this time frame which is exactly what
happened.
An energetic push to the downside followed.

The next significant monthly reversal zone was projected to be a three
month reversal zone centered on the month of September 2008.  The S&P
rallied above the July highs in August which indicated a significant
top would be made
in August, September or October.  The market proceeded to move up
into
a September bear market reaction wave top which occured in the center
of a projected three day reversal zone.

From that top, the market promptly turned down starting a massive
downside acceleration phase.

So, what is the next major reversal zone projected by Kenison Counting
Numbers for the stock market?  It will be a three month reversal zone
centered on the month of December 2008, indicating a major reversal
will occur in November or
December 2008 or January 2009.

Note carefully, whichever direction the market goes into this three
month reversal zone will determine whether we will see a major
bearish reaction wave top in a continuing bear market or a major
bullish
terminal reversal zone bottom.  If the market rallies up into this
reversal zone, we will see the reaction top.  If the market declines
into this reversal zone, we will see a major reversal bottom put in
during this time frame.

When the market commits itself to either scenario, we will then apply
Kenison Counting Numbers to the weekly, daily and intraday charts to
pinpoint the timing of the exact reversal point.

Copyright (c) 2008 Bruce Kenison.  All Rights Reserved.
————–
Bruce Kenison is the founder of several market timing advisory
services employing the Kenison Counting Numbers precision market
timing method and is the editor of Bruce Kenison’s Market Timing
Signals ezine and newsletter available FREE to investors and hedgers.
He is also president of a publishing and seminar production company
that recently published the 5th Edition of Bruce Kenison’s Market
Timing Home Study Course.  For a FREE subscription to the ezine or
newsletter and information on products and services, send a blank e-
mail with "Subscribe" in the subject line to:

brucekenis…@yahoo.com

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Colder Climate Cools Crazies

October 17, 2008

Funny how economic concerns pull the mind away from foolishness such as
global warming. But weather goes on, and in many places it doesn’t
happen the way fear mongers predict.

Start with Alaska, a place in the news of late. The state’s glaciers,
after two centuries of shrinkage (a trend that began before the advent
of the internal combustion engine and smokestack economy), actually grew
during the winter of 2007-08.

"In general," Bruce Molnia, a U.S. Geological Survey glaciologist, told
the Anchorage Daily News, "the weather this summer was the worst I have
seen in at least 20 years."

Translation: It was so cold that the snow that causes glaciers to expand
didn’t melt until later than usual.

Meanwhile, the International Arctic Research Center reports 29% more
Arctic sea ice this year than last. This doesn’t exactly square with
overheated predictions earlier in the year that the North Pole would be
entirely free of ice over the summer for the first time in recorded
history.

Farther south, midmonth temperatures in Oregon hit record lows, and on
Oct. 10 Boise, Idaho, got its earliest snow ever – 1.7 inches that beat
the old record by one day and 7/10 of an inch.

Much farther south, Durban, South Africa, had its coldest September
night in history a month ago, and parts of the country had an unusual
late-winter snow.

A month earlier in New Zealand, officials at Mount Ruapehu reported the
largest snow base ever.

These last four developments, taken together or separately, don’t
disprove the global warming theory. But unlike climate projection
models, which are often wrong but endlessly thrown in our faces as
examples of hard science, they are real world events wholly contrary to
the story the alarmists have been spreading.

Global warm mongers are rapidly losing credibility. Mainstream
journalists will still believe them because climate change fits the
narrative they’ve so carefully nurtured. But eventually the error will
have to admitted. It won’t happen publicly, though, because by the time
they come to their senses, the issue will have been long forgotten by
the public.

http://ibdeditorial.com/IBDArticles.aspx?id=309135716919866

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

". none of the climate states in the models correspond even remotely to
the current observed climate. In particular, the state of the oceans,
sea ice, and soil moisture has no relationship to the observed state at
any recent time in any of the IPCC models." Kevin Trenberth, IPCC
Coordinating Lead Author

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The Jig Is Up On Wacko Environmentalism

October 17 2008

Lawrence Solomon

The next commodity to collapse will be mass-marketed environmentalism,
which will come to be disdained

Stock market indexes have plummeted from their inflated peaks. Oil and
other commodities have likewise plummeted.

The next commodity to tumble from unsustainable peak levels:
environmentalism.

In part, I am making this prediction because, in my 30 years as an
environmentalist, I have never seen so many governments and so many
corporations so profusely espousing so many environmental causes. Where
promoting environmentalism was once seen as daring and counter-cultural,
today it has become banal, no longer the exclusive preserve of a Body
Shop chain, but of every retailer down to Wal-Mart.

For the same reason that clothes go out of fashion after the masses
embrace them, mass-marketed environmentalism will come to be disdained.
That won’t sell for long.

I am predicting a collapse of today’s Wal-Mart environmentalism for
another reason, too: Much of it is misguided, based on misunderstanding
and vacuity.Global warming is by far the biggest such example. Those who
have been following my Denier series in these pages know that large
numbers of distinguished scientists dispute the conventional wisdom on
climate change, making absurd the claim that the science is settled on
climate change. And yet government and corporate propaganda – in global
warming and elsewhere – strip away all subltety and uncertainty in their
public relations programs, portraying environmental problems and
proposing environmental solutions in cartoon-cutout simplicity that,
more often than not, accomplish nothing good or make matters worse.

While governments and industry discount major environmental issues that
affect crown corporations and crown resources (nuclear power, forestry),
they stir up concerns in consumer areas that have high visibility and
often pose few true hazards. The results are often perverse: Blue Box
recycling programs that promote waste; ethanol blends for automobiles
that benefit the farm lobby while depleting the land and fouling the
air; bans on incandescent bulbs that ignore consumer preferences but
please light bulb manufacturers seeking lucrative new markets; public
transit systems that run near-empty buses along low-density routes;
"Right-to-Farm" laws that legalize polluting practices; demonization of
private water systems, including bans on water bottles, when private
systems have a superior safety and environmental record – in short, most
of the environmental policies that governments put before the public are
wrong-headed.

A third reason for my prediction that environmentalism has peaked is the
instinct for self-preservation among the political leadership. Thinking
they could raise revenues while appearing green, opportunistic
politicians have been promoting environmental taxes without having a
credible case to make. The result, increasingly, is political ruin.

 The federal election results this week are, in good part, a testament
to Liberal leader Stéphan Dion’s failure to sell his Green Shift – the
Liberals obtained the lowest share of the vote since Confederation.

In England, where citizens face the world’s highest burden of green
taxes, the ruling Labour Party received a miserable 3% of the vote in
by-elections earlier this year and London’s mayor, the greenest in
Europe, was thrown out of office.

Across Europe, once-green politicians are now backing away from their
earlier commitments to push green agendas.

In stock and commodity markets, when values fall from unrealistically
high levels, they often fall further than justified. When
environmentalism falls from its high values on the realization that many
concerns have been oversold, it too will likely fall further than
justified. Environmentalism will then need to reestablish public trust
before real environmental gains can be made.

As history shows, after being burned in the stock market, investors
often stay away for years, fearful of being burned again. The lack of
trust harms the greater economy. We have no history of what happens when
citizens feel taken in by false environmental claims.

But we may soon find out!

http://network.nationalpost.com/np/blogs/fpcomment/archive/2008/10/17…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"I’ve argued time and again that the old trade unionists and CND
lesbians didn’t go away. They just morphed into environmentalists. The
red’s become green but the goals remain the same. And there’s no better
way of achieving those goals than turning the lights out and therefore
winding the clock back to the Stone Age. Only when we’re all eating
leaves under a hammer and sickle will they be happy." Jeremy Clarkson,
BBC Top Gear

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Spotting Frauds And Wacko Preachers

October 17, 2008

Mark Latham spots the frauds:

LAST month, Newspoll claimed that a clear majority of Australians not
only supported an emissions trading scheme (88 per cent) but were
prepared to pay higher energy bills to make the scheme work (58 per
cent). The statistics for green electricity accounts, home energy
conversions, green car purchases and food self-sufficiency show that no
more than 10 per cent of Australians have tried to reduce their carbon
footprint. So what happened to the other 48 per cent in the Newspoll
survey who said they were willing to put their money where their mouth
is?

And a nice ping of one of the climate preachers:

Hugh Mackay has argued that Australians are ready to embrace an
"imaginative, even drastic" approach to greenhouse abatement. This
involves halving daily car usage; banning people aged under 26 from
driving, limiting air travel to special cases, and walking to the shops.
Whoever Mackay includes in his polling, they cannot be residents of
Australia’s car-dependent suburbs. They would regard his agenda as some
kind of wacky eco-fascist prank. It’s a long walk from Struggle Street
to the shopping mall, an even longer walk home humping a flat-screen
television on your back.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

"The difference between a welfare state and a totalitarian state is a
matter of time" Ayn Rand

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To Win The Next Election, Avoid Wacko AGW Policies!

October 16, 2008

Tom Switzer, who was senior advisor to then Opposition Leader Brendan
Nelson, gives the Liberals very useful advice:

(C)onservatives won’t be able to attack effectively the government’s
global warming scheme if they remain carbon copies of Labor. When all is
said and done, Turnbull and his shadow environment minister Greg Hunt
agree with virtually everything that Rudd and his climate change
minister Penny Wong say about taxing industry and redistributing the
proceeds at potentially huge cost to the economy.

The only point of difference is the start date: the government supports
a deadline of 2010; the opposition says no later than 2012 – no matter
what the rest of the world does. But by putting forward a simple, sharp
critique of this costly and risky scheme at a time of global economic
turmoil and when no global consensus exists, the Coalition would be
better able to feel the pain of battlers who will suffer most from
higher energy prices as companies pass on costs. It would also be
defending the national interest.

This is what Brendan Nelson was essentially saying behind the scenes.
For his pains, he was disowned by many of his colleagues and was
denounced as a denier by the foolish. But this is what Malcolm Turnbull
should be saying on the record in the most forceful and coherent
language he can find – and sooner, rather than later, he will have to.

True.

And a tip to Turnbull: check out the election result in Canada.

http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/com…

Warmest Regards

Bonzo

".it should not be surprising to see hordes of former Reds, or of those
who otherwise would have become Reds, turning from Marxism and becoming
the Greens of the ecology movement. It is the same fundamental
philosophy in a different guise, ready as ever to wage war on the
freedom and well-being of the individual." Dr. George Reisman’s book
Capitalism

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